AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Intermediate League Dec 21, 2024

Rathfriland

Home
VS
15:00

Coagh United

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Rathfriland Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Coagh United Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.26 - 1.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rathfriland Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Coagh United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Rathfriland Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Rathfrila… vs Zambia 3-2
Dec 17 Rathfrila… vs Singapore 2-4
Nov 29 Rathfrila… vs Oxford Su… 1-0
Nov 02 Rathfrila… vs Banbridge… 1-0
Aug 24 Rathfrila… vs Lisburn D… 0-2
Aug 13 Rathfrila… vs Coagh Uni… 2-1
Jun 11 Rathfrila… vs Singapore 3-1
Mar 23 Rathfrila… vs Coagh Uni… 1-3
Mar 16 Rathfrila… vs Moyola Pa… 2-1
Feb 20 Rathfrila… vs Lisburn D… 3-4
Coagh United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Coagh Uni… vs Dergview 1-0
Nov 02 Coagh Uni… vs Oxford Su… 1-2
Oct 05 Coagh Uni… vs Ballymaca… 0-2
Aug 13 Coagh Uni… vs Rathfrila… 2-1
Apr 06 Coagh Uni… vs Dollingst… 1-2
Mar 23 Coagh Uni… vs Rathfrila… 1-3
Jan 27 Coagh Uni… vs Ballymaca… 3-2
Dec 02 Coagh Uni… vs Ballymaca… 3-1
Oct 13 Coagh Uni… vs Dollingst… 2-2
Sep 02 Coagh Uni… vs Rathfrila… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rathfriland in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Coagh United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 13, 2024 Rathfriland 2 - 1 Coagh United League Cup
Mar 23, 2024 Rathfriland 1 - 3 Coagh United Premier Interm…
Sep 02, 2023 Coagh United 0 - 1 Rathfriland Premier Interm…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rathfriland to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rathfriland Power 0
Coagh United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.