AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Mar 11, 2025

Elgin City

Home
VS
19:45

Spartans

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Elgin City Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Spartans Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.71 - 1.46
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Elgin City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Spartans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Elgin City Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 0-1
Feb 22 Elgin City vs Edinburgh… 1-2
Feb 15 Elgin City vs Stranraer 1-0
Feb 08 Elgin City vs Stirling … 3-1
Feb 01 Elgin City vs East Fife 1-0
Jan 25 Elgin City vs Clyde 0-0
Jan 18 Elgin City vs Aberdeen 0-3
Jan 11 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Dec 21 Elgin City vs Edinburgh… 1-0
Dec 17 Elgin City vs Clyde 4-2
Spartans Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Spartans vs Stirling … 0-0
Mar 01 Spartans vs Bonnyrigg… 3-1
Feb 25 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Feb 22 Spartans vs Clyde 0-2
Feb 15 Spartans vs Edinburgh… 5-0
Feb 04 Spartans vs Stirling … 1-3
Feb 01 Spartans vs Stranraer 2-0
Jan 21 Spartans vs Bonnyrigg… 2-2
Dec 28 Spartans vs Edinburgh… 1-0
Dec 14 Spartans vs Clyde 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Elgin City struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2024 Spartans 1 - 3 Elgin City League Two
Sep 17, 2024 Elgin City 1 - 1 Spartans League Two
Apr 06, 2024 Elgin City 2 - 2 Spartans League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Spartans 1 - 2 Elgin City League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Elgin City 0 - 4 Spartans League Two
Aug 19, 2023 Spartans 2 - 1 Elgin City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elgin City Power 0
Spartans Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Elgin City Position

-8

Position Gap

1

Spartans Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.