AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 10, 2024

Spartans

Home
VS
15:00

Elgin City

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Spartans Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Elgin City Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.98 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Spartans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Elgin City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Spartans Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Jan 27 Spartans vs Clyde 1-1
Jan 20 Spartans vs Heart of … 1-2
Dec 23 Spartans vs Stranraer 3-0
Dec 16 Spartans vs Elgin City 0-4
Dec 09 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Nov 25 Spartans vs Arbroath 2-1
Nov 04 Spartans vs Clyde 1-2
Oct 21 Spartans vs Dumbarton 2-0
Oct 07 Spartans vs Stranraer 3-4
Elgin City Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Elgin City vs East Fife 1-0
Jan 30 Elgin City vs Clyde 2-1
Jan 27 Elgin City vs Dumbarton 0-1
Jan 13 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Jan 06 Elgin City vs Stranraer 2-1
Dec 16 Elgin City vs Spartans 0-4
Dec 09 Elgin City vs East Fife 4-0
Nov 21 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Nov 18 Elgin City vs Dumbarton 1-0
Nov 04 Elgin City vs Stranraer 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Elgin City in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 16, 2023 Elgin City 0 - 4 Spartans League Two
Aug 19, 2023 Spartans 2 - 1 Elgin City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spartans to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spartans Power 0
Elgin City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Spartans Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Elgin City Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.