AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Dec 16, 2023

Elgin City

Home
VS
15:00

Spartans

Away
AI Predictions 49.2% Confidence
Elgin City Win
21.0%
Draw
29.8%
Spartans Win
49.2%
Away Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.79 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Elgin City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Spartans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Elgin City Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Elgin City vs East Fife 4-0
Nov 21 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Nov 18 Elgin City vs Dumbarton 1-0
Nov 04 Elgin City vs Stranraer 3-1
Sep 23 Elgin City vs Clyde 2-1
Sep 16 Elgin City vs Dumbarton 2-0
Aug 26 Elgin City vs East Fife 1-1
Aug 19 Elgin City vs Spartans 2-1
Aug 15 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Aug 12 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Spartans Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Nov 25 Spartans vs Arbroath 2-1
Nov 04 Spartans vs Clyde 1-2
Oct 21 Spartans vs Dumbarton 2-0
Oct 07 Spartans vs Stranraer 3-4
Sep 30 Spartans vs Bonnyrigg… 2-2
Aug 19 Spartans vs Elgin City 2-1
Aug 12 Spartans vs Dumbarton 1-1
Aug 05 Spartans vs Clyde 1-1
Dec 26 Spartans vs Stranraer 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spartans in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
  • Elgin City struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 19, 2023 Spartans 2 - 1 Elgin City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elgin City Power 0
Spartans Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Elgin City Position

-8

Position Gap

1

Spartans Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.