AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Jun 15, 2025

Mara Sugar

Home
VS
12:00

Murang'a SEAL

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Mara Sugar Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Murang'a SEAL Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 3.17 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mara Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Mara Sugar Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 Mara Sugar vs Police 1-1
May 18 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-1
Apr 27 Mara Sugar vs Gor Mahia 4-0
Apr 06 Mara Sugar vs Tusker 1-1
Mar 28 Mara Sugar vs Mathare U… 2-1
Feb 19 Mara Sugar vs Posta Ran… 1-1
Feb 01 Mara Sugar vs Homeboyz 2-0
Jan 26 Mara Sugar vs Police 0-1
Jan 18 Mara Sugar vs Mathare U… 3-0
Dec 14 Mara Sugar vs Kariobang… 1-0
Murang'a SEAL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 Murang'a … vs Gor Mahia 2-2
May 18 Murang'a … vs Gor Mahia 0-0
May 01 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 3-2
Apr 06 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 1-1
Mar 15 Murang'a … vs Police 3-1
Mar 02 Murang'a … vs Mathare U… 1-1
Feb 19 Murang'a … vs Homeboyz 3-1
Feb 15 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 1-2
Jan 25 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 1-1
Jan 19 Murang'a … vs Police 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2024 Murang'a SEAL 1 - 1 Mara Sugar FKF Premier Le…
May 28, 2023 Mara Sugar 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL Super League
Feb 04, 2023 Murang'a SEAL 3 - 0 Mara Sugar Super League
Jun 13, 2022 Murang'a SEAL 3 - 1 Mara Sugar Super League
Mar 06, 2022 Mara Sugar 1 - 2 Murang'a SEAL Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mara Sugar Power 0
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Mara Sugar Position

-9

Position Gap

4

Murang'a SEAL Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.