AI Match Insights

Super League May 28, 2023

Mara Sugar

Home
VS
10:00

Murang'a SEAL

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Mara Sugar Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Murang'a SEAL Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 0.87 - 1.20
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mara Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Mara Sugar Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 3-2
Feb 04 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 3-0
Jan 07 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-1
Sep 18 Mara Sugar vs Tusker 1-2
Jul 13 Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet 1-0
Jun 13 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 3-1
May 22 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 1-2
Mar 06 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 1-2
Jan 21 Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet 0-1
Nov 07 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-0
Murang'a SEAL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 0-1
Feb 04 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 3-0
Sep 18 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 3-1
Jul 24 Murang'a … vs APS Bomet 1-1
Jun 13 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 3-1
Mar 06 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 1-2
Feb 05 Murang'a … vs APS Bomet 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mara Sugar struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2023 Murang'a SEAL 3 - 0 Mara Sugar Super League
Jun 13, 2022 Murang'a SEAL 3 - 1 Mara Sugar Super League
Mar 06, 2022 Mara Sugar 1 - 2 Murang'a SEAL Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mara Sugar to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mara Sugar Power 0
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.