AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Feb 04, 2023

Murang'a SEAL

Home
VS
12:00

Mara Sugar

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Murang'a SEAL Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Mara Sugar Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 4.36 - 1.13
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Mara Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Murang'a SEAL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 18 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 3-1
Jul 24 Murang'a … vs APS Bomet 1-1
Jun 13 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 3-1
Mar 06 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 1-2
Feb 05 Murang'a … vs APS Bomet 1-2
Mara Sugar Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-1
Sep 18 Mara Sugar vs Tusker 1-2
Jul 13 Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet 1-0
Jun 13 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 3-1
May 22 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 1-2
Mar 06 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 1-2
Jan 21 Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet 0-1
Nov 07 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mara Sugar struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 13, 2022 Murang'a SEAL 3 - 1 Mara Sugar Super League
Mar 06, 2022 Mara Sugar 1 - 2 Murang'a SEAL Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Murang'a SEAL to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Mara Sugar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.