AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 04, 2024

Aberdeen

Home
VS
20:00

Celtic

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Aberdeen Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Celtic Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.81 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Aberdeen Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 26 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 3-3
Nov 23 Aberdeen vs St. Mirren 2-1
Nov 09 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 4-1
Nov 02 Aberdeen vs Celtic 6-0
Oct 30 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 2-1
Oct 26 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Oct 19 Aberdeen vs Celtic 2-2
Sep 28 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-2
Sep 14 Aberdeen vs Motherwell 2-1
Aug 25 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 2-0
Celtic Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Celtic vs Brinje-Gr… 2-0
Nov 23 Celtic vs Heart of … 1-4
Nov 10 Celtic vs Kilmarnock 0-2
Nov 03 Celtic vs Ilirija 1-2
Nov 02 Celtic vs Aberdeen 6-0
Oct 30 Celtic vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Oct 27 Celtic vs Motherwell 0-3
Oct 19 Celtic vs Aberdeen 2-2
Sep 22 Celtic vs Falkirk 5-2
Sep 14 Celtic vs Heart of … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Celtic in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2024 Celtic 6 - 0 Aberdeen League Cup
Oct 19, 2024 Celtic 2 - 2 Aberdeen Premiership
Apr 20, 2024 Aberdeen 3 - 3 Celtic FA Cup
Feb 03, 2024 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Celtic Premiership
Nov 12, 2023 Celtic 6 - 0 Aberdeen Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aberdeen Power 0
Celtic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aberdeen Position

-4

Position Gap

3

Celtic Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.