AI Match Insights

Süper Lig Oct 06, 2023

Antalyaspor

Home
VS
17:00

Fatih Karagümrük

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Antalyaspor Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Fatih Karagümrük Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 42%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.16 - 1.76
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Antalyaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Fatih Karagümrük Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 0-2 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Antalyaspor Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Antalyasp… vs Besiktas 0-2
Sep 30 Antalyasp… vs Bandırmas… 1-1
Sep 30 Antalyasp… vs İstanbuls… 1-2
Sep 24 Antalyasp… vs Fenerbahce 0-1
Sep 23 Antalyasp… vs Yeni Çoru… 1-0
Sep 23 Antalyasp… vs Fethiyesp… 1-1
Sep 18 Antalyasp… vs BB Bodrum… 0-2
Sep 16 Antalyasp… vs Rizespor 1-2
Sep 16 Antalyasp… vs Buca FK 1-1
Sep 11 Antalyasp… vs Antalyasp… 2-0
Fatih Karagümrük Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 20 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 0-2
Apr 29 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 0-1
Apr 23 Fatih Kar… vs Galatasar… 3-3
Mar 19 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 2-2
Jan 22 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 2-2
Jan 18 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 2-2
Dec 16 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 2-3
Nov 06 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 4-2
Oct 28 Fatih Kar… vs Galatasar… 0-2
Sep 18 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Antalyaspor struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 29, 2023 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 1 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Jan 22, 2023 Antalyaspor 2 - 2 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Dec 16, 2022 Antalyaspor 2 - 3 Fatih Karagümrük Friendlies Clu…
Nov 06, 2022 Antalyaspor 4 - 2 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Aug 07, 2022 Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 4 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
May 22, 2022 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 1 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Feb 13, 2022 Antalyaspor 3 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Dec 26, 2021 Antalyaspor 1 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Sep 21, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 0 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Apr 28, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 2 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Antalyaspor to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Antalyaspor Power 0
Fatih Karagümrük Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Antalyaspor Position

+5

Position Gap

18

Fatih Karagümrük Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.