AI Match Insights

Süper Lig Aug 07, 2022

Fatih Karagümrük

Home
VS
16:15

Antalyaspor

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Fatih Karagümrük Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Antalyaspor Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.59 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fatih Karagümrük Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Antalyaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Fatih Karagümrük Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 22 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 0-1
May 07 Fatih Kar… vs Goztepe 3-1
Apr 02 Fatih Kar… vs Galatasar… 2-0
Feb 26 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 1-2
Feb 13 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 3-0
Dec 26 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 1-1
Dec 19 Fatih Kar… vs Goztepe 0-1
Nov 13 Fatih Kar… vs Kocaelisp… 4-3
Nov 07 Fatih Kar… vs Galatasar… 1-1
Oct 01 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 3-1
Antalyaspor Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Antalyasp… vs Rizespor 0-3
Jul 23 Antalyasp… vs Rizespor 3-0
Jul 20 Antalyasp… vs Kocaelisp… 2-1
Jul 13 Antalyasp… vs İstanbuls… 0-1
Jul 07 Antalyasp… vs Rizespor 1-1
May 22 Antalyasp… vs Fatih Kar… 0-1
May 21 Antalyasp… vs Besiktas 1-1
May 20 Antalyasp… vs Galatasar… 1-1
May 15 Antalyasp… vs Kasımpaşa 2-4
May 09 Antalyasp… vs Antalyasp… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fatih Karagümrük struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Antalyaspor struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 22, 2022 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 1 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Feb 13, 2022 Antalyaspor 3 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Dec 26, 2021 Antalyaspor 1 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Sep 21, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 0 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Apr 28, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 2 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Feb 27, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 0 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Jan 06, 2021 Antalyaspor 3 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Oct 25, 2020 Antalyaspor 2 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fatih Karagümrük Power 0
Antalyaspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Fatih Karagümrük Position

-5

Position Gap

13

Antalyaspor Position

Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.