AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Women's Championship Nov 19, 2023

Birmingham City Women

Home
VS
13:00

Durham Women

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Birmingham City Women Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Durham Women Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 2.54 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Birmingham City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Durham Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Birmingham City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Birmingha… vs Crystal P… 1-2
Apr 23 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 1-2
Apr 19 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 1-0
Apr 16 Birmingha… vs Crystal P… 2-4
Mar 22 Birmingha… vs Crystal P… 3-1
May 08 Birmingha… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Feb 27 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 0-1
Nov 14 Birmingha… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Apr 28 Birmingha… vs Aston Vil… 1-1
Nov 15 Birmingha… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Durham Women Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Durham Wo… vs Sunderlan… 2-2
Nov 05 Durham Wo… vs Sunderlan… 0-1
Oct 15 Durham Wo… vs Southampt… 2-1
Sep 10 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 9-1
Apr 23 Durham Wo… vs Birmingha… 1-2
Apr 19 Durham Wo… vs Birmingha… 1-0
Mar 19 Durham Wo… vs Southampt… 0-1
Feb 12 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 1-0
Jan 29 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 3-0
Jan 22 Durham Wo… vs Southampt… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Durham Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 23, 2023 Durham Women 1 - 2 Birmingham City Wom… Women's Champi…
Apr 19, 2023 Birmingham City Wom… 1 - 0 Durham Women Women's Champi…
Feb 27, 2022 Durham Women 0 - 1 Birmingham City Wom… FA Women's Cup
Final Verdict

ELITE: Birmingham City Women to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birmingham City Women Power 54
Durham Women Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Birmingham City Women Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Durham Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.