AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Women's Championship Apr 19, 2023

Birmingham City Women

Home
VS
18:00

Durham Women

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Birmingham City Women Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Durham Women Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.97 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Birmingham City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Durham Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Birmingham City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Birmingha… vs Crystal P… 2-4
Mar 22 Birmingha… vs Crystal P… 3-1
May 08 Birmingha… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Feb 27 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 0-1
Nov 14 Birmingha… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Apr 28 Birmingha… vs Aston Vil… 1-1
Nov 15 Birmingha… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Durham Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Durham Wo… vs Southampt… 0-1
Feb 12 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 1-0
Jan 29 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 3-0
Jan 22 Durham Wo… vs Southampt… 0-0
Jan 15 Durham Wo… vs Sunderlan… 3-2
Oct 30 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 0-1
Aug 21 Durham Wo… vs Sunderlan… 1-1
Feb 27 Durham Wo… vs Birmingha… 0-1
Jan 16 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 2-3
Nov 07 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 27, 2022 Durham Women 0 - 1 Birmingham City Wom… FA Women's Cup
Final Verdict

ELITE: Birmingham City Women to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birmingham City Women Power 54
Durham Women Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Birmingham City Women Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Durham Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.