AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
C-League Jan 18, 2026

Phnom Penh Crown

Home
VS
11:00

Svay Rieng

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Phnom Penh Crown Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Svay Rieng Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 48%
Market 36%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 38%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
xG: 1.91 - 1.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.3 Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Phnom Penh Crown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Svay Rieng Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Phnom Penh Crown Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Phnom Pen… vs Kompong D… 1-1
Jan 04 Phnom Pen… vs Life Siha… 3-0
Dec 27 Phnom Pen… vs National … 3-2
Dec 21 Phnom Pen… vs Boeung Ket 1-0
Dec 14 Phnom Pen… vs Angkor Ti… 3-0
Nov 19 Phnom Pen… vs NagaWorld 0-1
Nov 08 Phnom Pen… vs Visakha 1-1
Nov 01 Phnom Pen… vs Tainan Ci… 2-3
Oct 29 Phnom Pen… vs Sepahan FC 3-1
Oct 26 Phnom Pen… vs Dewa Unit… 1-1
Svay Rieng Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Svay Rieng vs Life Siha… 1-4
Jan 04 Svay Rieng vs Visakha 1-2
Dec 27 Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket 2-1
Dec 20 Svay Rieng vs Angkor Ti… 3-1
Dec 14 Svay Rieng vs Kompong D… 2-2
Dec 04 Svay Rieng vs Johor Dar… 2-2
Nov 23 Svay Rieng vs NagaWorld 1-2
Nov 19 Svay Rieng vs Dangkor S… 1-6
Nov 09 Svay Rieng vs Kirivong … 2-1
Nov 01 Svay Rieng vs Manila Di… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Phnom Penh Crown in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 28, 2025 Svay Rieng 2 - 3 Phnom Penh Crown C-League
May 25, 2025 Svay Rieng 1 - 2 Phnom Penh Crown Hun Sen Cup
May 18, 2025 Svay Rieng 0 - 5 Phnom Penh Crown C-League
Apr 05, 2025 Phnom Penh Crown 0 - 2 Svay Rieng C-League
Jan 26, 2025 Svay Rieng 3 - 1 Phnom Penh Crown C-League
Oct 20, 2024 Phnom Penh Crown 4 - 3 Svay Rieng C-League
May 12, 2024 Phnom Penh Crown 1 - 1 Svay Rieng C-League
Feb 04, 2024 Svay Rieng 3 - 2 Phnom Penh Crown C-League
Nov 25, 2023 Phnom Penh Crown 0 - 0 Svay Rieng C-League
Aug 11, 2023 Svay Rieng 2 - 1 Phnom Penh Crown C-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Phnom Penh Crown to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Phnom Penh Crown Power 0
Svay Rieng Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Phnom Penh Crown Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Svay Rieng Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 88%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.