AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Nov 21, 2024

Persepam Madura Utd

Home
VS
08:30

Arema FC

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Persepam Madura Utd Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Arema FC Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 0.66 - 1.95
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Persepam Madura Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Arema FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 0-2 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Persepam Madura Utd Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 Persepam … vs Persija J… 4-1
Sep 17 Persepam … vs PSBS Biak… 2-1
Jul 26 Persepam … vs Arema FC 0-5
Jul 21 Persepam … vs Persija J… 1-2
May 19 Persepam … vs Pusamania… 2-3
May 15 Persepam … vs Pusamania… 1-0
Apr 30 Persepam … vs Arema FC 0-0
Apr 17 Persepam … vs Pusamania… 0-4
Mar 13 Persepam … vs Persebaya… 0-0
Feb 22 Persepam … vs Persija J… 0-1
Arema FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Arema FC vs Malut Uni… 3-1
Sep 11 Arema FC vs Bali Unit… 0-0
Aug 12 Arema FC vs Dewa Unit… 0-0
Jul 26 Arema FC vs Persepam … 0-5
Jul 21 Arema FC vs Bali Unit… 0-1
Apr 30 Arema FC vs Persepam … 0-0
Mar 27 Arema FC vs Persebaya… 0-1
Mar 13 Arema FC vs Persita 4-3
Dec 04 Arema FC vs Bali Unit… 3-2
Nov 27 Arema FC vs Persik Ke… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arema FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Persepam Madura Utd struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 26, 2024 Persepam Madura Utd 0 - 5 Arema FC Piala Presiden
Apr 30, 2024 Persepam Madura Utd 0 - 0 Arema FC Liga 1
Oct 28, 2023 Arema FC 1 - 1 Persepam Madura Utd Liga 1
Apr 07, 2023 Persepam Madura Utd 1 - 1 Arema FC Liga 1
Dec 20, 2022 Arema FC 0 - 2 Persepam Madura Utd Liga 1
Feb 18, 2022 Arema FC 1 - 0 Persepam Madura Utd Liga 1
Nov 01, 2021 Persepam Madura Utd 1 - 2 Arema FC Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Persepam Madura Utd Power 0
Arema FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Persepam Madura Utd Position

-3

Position Gap

11

Arema FC Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.