AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Dec 20, 2022

Arema FC

Home
VS
08:00

Persepam Madura Utd

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Arema FC Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Persepam Madura Utd Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.59 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arema FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Persepam Madura Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Arema FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Arema FC vs Persita 2-0
Dec 07 Arema FC vs Dewa Unit… 0-2
Oct 01 Arema FC vs Persebaya… 2-3
Sep 17 Arema FC vs Persik Ke… 0-1
Aug 13 Arema FC vs Bali Unit… 1-2
Jun 15 Arema FC vs Persik Ke… 0-1
Mar 15 Arema FC vs Bali Unit… 2-1
Feb 27 Arema FC vs Persik Ke… 0-1
Feb 23 Arema FC vs Persebaya… 1-0
Feb 18 Arema FC vs Persepam … 1-0
Persepam Madura Utd Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Persepam … vs Pusamania… 3-0
Sep 17 Persepam … vs Persija J… 0-0
Aug 14 Persepam … vs Persebaya… 2-2
Jun 28 Persepam … vs Persija J… 2-1
Jun 14 Persepam … vs Pusamania… 1-0
Mar 25 Persepam … vs Pusamania… 0-1
Mar 17 Persepam … vs Persija J… 1-3
Feb 28 Persepam … vs Persebaya… 1-2
Feb 18 Persepam … vs Arema FC 1-0
Nov 20 Persepam … vs Persebaya… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arema FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2022 Arema FC 1 - 0 Persepam Madura Utd Liga 1
Nov 01, 2021 Persepam Madura Utd 1 - 2 Arema FC Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arema FC Power 0
Persepam Madura Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Arema FC Position

+3

Position Gap

14

Persepam Madura Utd Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.