AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Mar 20, 2021

Sporting CP

Home
VS
20:30

Guimaraes

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Guimaraes Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Sporting CP Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 1-2
Jan 08 Sporting … vs Nacional 0-2
Nov 07 Sporting … vs Guimaraes 0-4
Guimaraes Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 1-3
Jan 21 Guimaraes vs Nacional 3-1
Nov 07 Guimaraes vs Sporting … 0-4
Sep 27 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 07, 2020 Guimaraes 0 - 4 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting CP Power 0
Guimaraes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sporting CP Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Guimaraes Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.