AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Africa Cup of Nations Dec 24, 2025

Algeria

Home
VS
15:00

Sudan

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Algeria Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Sudan Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.85 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Algeria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Sudan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Algeria Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Algeria vs Tanzania 2-1
Dec 16 Algeria vs Egypt 2-1
Dec 12 Algeria vs United Ar… 1-1
Dec 09 Algeria vs Zira 2-0
Dec 06 Algeria vs Bari 1-5
Dec 03 Algeria vs Sudan 0-0
Nov 18 Algeria vs Saudi Ara… 0-2
Nov 18 Algeria vs Guinea 1-1
Nov 14 Algeria vs Egypt 3-2
Nov 14 Algeria vs Burkina F… 3-2
Sudan Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Sudan vs Bari 3-1
Dec 06 Sudan vs Zira 0-2
Dec 03 Sudan vs Algeria 0-0
Nov 26 Sudan vs Lebanon 2-1
Nov 14 Sudan vs AS Roma 2-0
Oct 14 Sudan vs Congo DR 1-0
Oct 10 Sudan vs Alianza 0-0
Aug 23 Sudan vs Algeria 1-1
Mar 13 Sudan vs AS Roma 0-0
Dec 07 Sudan vs Lebanon 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Algeria in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sudan struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2025 Algeria 0 - 0 Sudan Arab Cup
Aug 23, 2025 Sudan 1 - 1 Algeria African Nation…
Dec 01, 2021 Algeria 4 - 0 Sudan Arab Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Algeria to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Algeria Power 0
Sudan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Algeria Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Sudan Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.