AI Match Insights

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Serie A Oct 16, 2022

Napoli

Home
VS
16:00

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Napoli Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Bologna Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.29 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.6 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Napoli Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 Napoli vs Cremonese 1-4
Sep 18 Napoli vs AC Milan 1-2
Sep 03 Napoli vs Lazio 1-2
Aug 28 Napoli vs Fiorentina 0-0
Aug 15 Napoli vs Verona 2-5
Apr 30 Napoli vs Sassuolo 6-1
Apr 18 Napoli vs AS Roma 1-1
Apr 10 Napoli vs Fiorentina 2-3
Apr 03 Napoli vs Atalanta 1-3
Mar 19 Napoli vs Udinese 2-1
Bologna Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Bologna vs Juventus 3-0
Sep 11 Bologna vs Fiorentina 2-1
Aug 27 Bologna vs AC Milan 2-0
Aug 21 Bologna vs Verona 1-1
Aug 14 Bologna vs Lazio 2-1
May 21 Bologna vs Genoa 0-1
May 15 Bologna vs Sassuolo 1-3
Apr 27 Bologna vs Inter 2-1
Apr 24 Bologna vs Udinese 2-2
Apr 16 Bologna vs Juventus 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Napoli in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Bologna struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2022 Bologna 0 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Oct 28, 2021 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: Napoli to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Napoli Power 40
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Napoli Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Bologna Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.