AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Jan 20, 2026

Brisbane Roar Women

Home
VS
09:00

Melbourne City Women

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Brisbane Roar Women Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Melbourne City Women Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 48%
Market 35%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 38%
Asian Handicap: Away -1
xG: 2.37 - 1.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.8 Asian Handicap: Away -1
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Brisbane Roar Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Brisbane … vs Western S… 1-1
Jan 11 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Jan 03 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 2-2
Dec 31 Brisbane … vs Central C… 3-2
Dec 13 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 3-0
Dec 07 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 1-3
Nov 16 Brisbane … vs Western S… 0-1
Nov 07 Brisbane … vs Perth Glo… 2-3
Nov 01 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 3-2
Apr 19 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-0
Melbourne City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 1-3
Jan 10 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-2
Jan 04 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 3-1
Dec 23 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 13 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-1
Dec 07 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Nov 08 Melbourne… vs Central C… 4-0
Nov 01 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 2-2
May 11 Melbourne… vs Central C… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 26, 2025 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 4 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 11, 2025 Melbourne City Women 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Mar 02, 2024 Brisbane Roar Women 2 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Dec 28, 2023 Melbourne City Women 5 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 03, 2022 Melbourne City Women 3 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 24, 2022 Melbourne City Women 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Jan 29, 2022 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 2 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 31, 2021 Melbourne City Women 2 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 29, 2020 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brisbane Roar Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Melbourne City Women Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.