AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Mar 13, 2025

Cəbrayıl

Home
VS
09:00

Difai Ağsu

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Cəbrayıl Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Difai Ağsu Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.14 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cəbrayıl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Difai Ağsu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Cəbrayıl Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 0-0
Feb 06 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 2-1
Oct 24 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 3-0
Oct 18 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 0-1
Sep 12 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 0-1
Nov 28 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 4-0
Difai Ağsu Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 1-0
Feb 14 Difai Ağsu vs Qabala 1-1
Dec 24 Difai Ağsu vs MOIK 0-1
Nov 28 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 3-3
Oct 30 Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku 2-3
Oct 25 Difai Ağsu vs Qabala 3-1
Sep 25 Difai Ağsu vs MOIK 2-2
Sep 12 Difai Ağsu vs Cəbrayıl 0-1
May 22 Difai Ağsu vs Qabala 1-1
May 15 Difai Ağsu vs MOIK 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 12, 2024 Difai Ağsu 0 - 1 Cəbrayıl Birinci Dəstə
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cəbrayıl Power 0
Difai Ağsu Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Cəbrayıl Position

+2

Position Gap

9

Difai Ağsu Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.