AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Jan 12, 2025

Newcastle Jets

Home
VS
06:00

Macarthur FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Macarthur FC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-3
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.62 - 3.53
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 0-3 (4%) 0-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Newcastle Jets Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 0-1
Jan 04 Newcastle… vs Sydney 2-2
Dec 28 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 2-1
Nov 30 Newcastle… vs Auckland 2-0
Nov 08 Newcastle… vs Western S… 4-1
Oct 25 Newcastle… vs Macarthur… 1-2
Oct 19 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Sep 17 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Aug 25 Newcastle… vs Macarthur… 3-4
Apr 27 Newcastle… vs Central C… 1-3
Macarthur FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 06 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Jan 01 Macarthur… vs Western S… 2-3
Dec 27 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 0-3
Dec 23 Macarthur… vs Central C… 1-1
Dec 14 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 1-2
Nov 30 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 4-4
Nov 24 Macarthur… vs Auckland 0-1
Nov 10 Macarthur… vs Sydney 1-2
Nov 03 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Oct 25 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Newcastle Jets struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2024 Macarthur FC 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets A-League
Aug 25, 2024 Newcastle Jets 3 - 4 Macarthur FC Australia Cup
Feb 25, 2024 Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Macarthur FC A-League
Jan 05, 2024 Macarthur FC 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets A-League
Apr 14, 2023 Newcastle Jets 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Feb 18, 2023 Macarthur FC 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets A-League
Jan 08, 2023 Macarthur FC 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Newcastle Jets to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Power 0
Macarthur FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Newcastle Jets Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Macarthur FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.