AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
COSAFA Cup Jul 09, 2023

Zambia

Home
VS
13:00

Como

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Zambia Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Como Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.33 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zambia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Zambia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Zambia vs Mali 1-0
Jun 11 Zambia vs Hong Kong… 0-3
Jun 07 Zambia vs Como 2-1
Jul 14 Zambia vs South Afr… 0-0
Jan 31 Zambia vs Morocco 3-1
Oct 11 Zambia vs South Afr… 1-2
Como Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Como vs Pisa 2-2
Aug 21 Como vs Pisa 2-2
Jul 23 Como vs Atalanta 4-0
Jun 07 Como vs Zambia 2-1
Apr 18 Como vs Pisa 3-1
Feb 05 Como vs Lecce 1-1
Jan 14 Como vs Morocco 2-0
Dec 05 Como vs Pisa 0-1
Aug 29 Como vs Lecce 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zambia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Como struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 07, 2022 Zambia 2 - 1 Como Africa Cup of …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Como to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zambia Power 0
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.