AI Match Insights
Pro League Jan 17, 2026
Al-Nassr
HomeVS
17:30
Al Shabab
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
Draw
Al Shabab Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
Combined: 67%
Draw Risk: 8%
xG: 4.50 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al Shabab Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
Al-Nassr Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Hilal … | 3-1 |
| Jan 08 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisi… | 1-2 |
| Jan 02 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… | 3-2 |
| Dec 30 | Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq | 2-2 |
| Dec 27 | Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud | 3-0 |
| Dec 24 | Al-Nassr vs Al Zawra'a | 5-1 |
| Nov 26 | Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol | 0-4 |
| Nov 23 | Al-Nassr vs Al Khalee… | 4-1 |
| Nov 08 | Al-Nassr vs Al Suqoor | 1-3 |
| Nov 05 | Al-Nassr vs Goa | 4-0 |
Al Shabab Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14 | Al Shabab vs Al Suqoor | 3-2 |
| Jan 09 | Al Shabab vs Al Taawou… | 2-0 |
| Jan 03 | Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … | 2-0 |
| Dec 31 | Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisi… | 2-3 |
| Dec 27 | Al Shabab vs Al-Ittiha… | 2-0 |
| Dec 23 | Al Shabab vs Al-Rayyan | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Al Shabab vs Al-Ittiha… | 4-1 |
| Nov 23 | Al Shabab vs Al Akhdoud | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Al Shabab vs Al-Ettifaq | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Al Shabab vs Al-Rayyan | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Nassr struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- Al Shabab struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 07, 2025 | Al-Nassr | 2 - 2 | Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Al Shabab | 1 - 2 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Al Shabab | 2 - 3 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Al Shabab | 2 - 5 | Al-Nassr | King's Cup |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Al-Nassr | 4 - 0 | Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Al-Nassr | 0 - 0 | Al Shabab | Arab Club Cham… |
| May 23, 2023 | Al-Nassr | 3 - 2 | Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Al Shabab | 0 - 0 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| May 06, 2022 | Al-Nassr | 4 - 2 | Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Nov 05, 2021 | Al Shabab | 1 - 0 | Al-Nassr | Pro League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power
0
Al Shabab Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Al-Nassr Position+11
Position Gap13
Al Shabab Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.