AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Apr 05, 2025

Bugesera

Home
VS
13:00

APR

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Bugesera Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
APR Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.34 - 1.20
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bugesera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
APR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (26%) 0-0 (21%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Bugesera Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Bugesera vs Police 0-1
Feb 08 Bugesera vs AS Kigali 1-0
Dec 21 Bugesera vs Mukura 0-0
Dec 13 Bugesera vs Police 2-2
Dec 07 Bugesera vs AS Kigali 1-2
Nov 27 Bugesera vs APR 2-0
Oct 26 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-2
Oct 19 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-0
Sep 15 Bugesera vs Rutsiro 2-3
Apr 26 Bugesera vs Police 1-2
APR Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 APR vs Gasogi Un… 0-0
Mar 02 APR vs Police 1-3
Feb 16 APR vs AS Kigali 2-1
Jan 12 APR vs Amagaju 1-0
Jan 08 APR vs Marines 1-2
Jan 04 APR vs Musanze 0-1
Dec 04 APR vs Police 1-1
Dec 01 APR vs AS Kigali 0-1
Nov 27 APR vs Bugesera 2-0
Nov 03 APR vs Gorilla 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • APR in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Bugesera struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 27, 2024 APR 2 - 0 Bugesera National Socce…
Feb 18, 2024 Bugesera 0 - 0 APR National Socce…
Oct 10, 2023 APR 1 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Apr 02, 2023 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Oct 07, 2022 Bugesera 2 - 1 APR National Socce…
Apr 17, 2022 Bugesera 0 - 0 APR National Socce…
Dec 12, 2021 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Jun 10, 2021 Bugesera 0 - 3 APR National Socce…
May 11, 2021 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bugesera Power 0
APR Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Bugesera Position

-9

Position Gap

3

APR Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.