AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Feb 18, 2024

Bugesera

Home
VS
13:00

APR

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Bugesera Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
APR Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.96 - 2.79
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bugesera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
APR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 1-3 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Bugesera Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-2
Jan 13 Bugesera vs AS Kigali 0-0
Dec 05 Bugesera vs Police 4-2
Dec 01 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
Oct 21 Bugesera vs Mukura 2-1
Oct 10 Bugesera vs APR 1-1
Aug 21 Bugesera vs AS Kigali 1-0
May 28 Bugesera vs AS Kigali 2-1
Apr 16 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-2
Apr 02 Bugesera vs APR 2-1
APR Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 APR vs Marines 5-2
Feb 04 APR vs Musanze 1-3
Jan 21 APR vs Police 0-1
Dec 11 APR vs Amagaju 1-3
Dec 08 APR vs Gorilla 1-4
Dec 05 APR vs Gasogi Un… 0-0
Nov 25 APR vs AS Kigali 1-1
Oct 22 APR vs Etincelles 0-3
Oct 10 APR vs Bugesera 1-1
Oct 06 APR vs Musanze 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • APR in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 10, 2023 APR 1 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Apr 02, 2023 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Oct 07, 2022 Bugesera 2 - 1 APR National Socce…
Apr 17, 2022 Bugesera 0 - 0 APR National Socce…
Dec 12, 2021 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Jun 10, 2021 Bugesera 0 - 3 APR National Socce…
May 11, 2021 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bugesera Power 0
APR Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Bugesera Position

-9

Position Gap

3

APR Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.