AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Apr 17, 2022

Bugesera

Home
VS
13:00

APR

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Bugesera Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
APR Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.77
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bugesera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
APR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 0-1 (26%) 1-0 (10%) 0-2 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Bugesera Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Bugesera vs Rutsiro 1-1
Mar 05 Bugesera vs Mukura 0-2
Feb 21 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-1
Jan 24 Bugesera vs Police 1-2
Jan 19 Bugesera vs AS Kigali 1-2
Dec 12 Bugesera vs APR 2-1
Dec 01 Bugesera vs Rutsiro 0-0
Nov 26 Bugesera vs Mukura 1-1
Nov 20 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 3-1
Jun 19 Bugesera vs AS Kigali 0-1
APR Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 APR vs Gasogi Un… 2-0
Feb 21 APR vs Etincelles 2-0
Feb 16 APR vs Musanze 1-0
Jan 28 APR vs Police 2-1
Jan 22 APR vs AS Kigali 0-0
Jan 19 APR vs Gorilla 1-0
Dec 26 APR vs Gasogi Un… 0-2
Dec 18 APR vs Marines 1-2
Dec 12 APR vs Bugesera 2-1
Dec 09 APR vs Etincelles 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • APR in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Bugesera struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 12, 2021 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Jun 10, 2021 Bugesera 0 - 3 APR National Socce…
May 11, 2021 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bugesera Power 0
APR Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Bugesera Position

-11

Position Gap

1

APR Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.