AI Match Insights

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National Soccer League Dec 12, 2021

APR

Home
VS
13:00

Bugesera

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
APR Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Bugesera Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
APR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Bugesera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
APR Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 APR vs Etincelles 0-0
Nov 03 APR vs Musanze 2-0
Jun 19 APR vs Marines 6-0
Jun 13 APR vs Police 3-0
Jun 10 APR vs Bugesera 0-3
May 26 APR vs AS Kigali 1-1
May 17 APR vs Gorilla 0-3
May 14 APR vs Muhanga 3-1
May 11 APR vs Bugesera 2-1
May 05 APR vs Muhanga 1-3
Bugesera Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 Bugesera vs Rutsiro 0-0
Nov 26 Bugesera vs Mukura 1-1
Nov 20 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 3-1
Jun 19 Bugesera vs AS Kigali 0-1
Jun 13 Bugesera vs Rutsiro 0-0
Jun 10 Bugesera vs APR 0-3
May 27 Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sp… 3-1
May 24 Bugesera vs Police 2-1
May 11 Bugesera vs APR 2-1
Dec 10 Bugesera vs Police 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • APR in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 10, 2021 Bugesera 0 - 3 APR National Socce…
May 11, 2021 APR 2 - 1 Bugesera National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: APR to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
APR Power 0
Bugesera Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

APR Position

+11

Position Gap

12

Bugesera Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.