AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Jul 23, 2022

Arbroath

Home
VS
14:00

Airdrieonians

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Arbroath Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Airdrieonians Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.35 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.1
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arbroath Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Airdrieonians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Arbroath Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Arbroath vs Raith Rov… 3-3
Mar 05 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 1-0
Dec 26 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 0-3
Oct 30 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 4-2
Aug 28 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 0-3
Aug 15 Arbroath vs ST Johnst… 2-2
Jul 24 Arbroath vs Kelty Hea… 3-2
Jul 21 Arbroath vs ST Johnst… 1-4
Jul 14 Arbroath vs East Fife 2-0
Oct 13 Arbroath vs Ross Coun… 2-1
Airdrieonians Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 19 Airdrieon… vs St. Mirren 2-0
May 07 Airdrieon… vs Montrose 6-4
May 03 Airdrieon… vs Montrose 1-0
Apr 09 Airdrieon… vs Montrose 2-2
Mar 05 Airdrieon… vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Feb 12 Airdrieon… vs Montrose 4-1
Dec 26 Airdrieon… vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Oct 30 Airdrieon… vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arbroath in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Airdrieonians in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Arbroath to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arbroath Power 0
Airdrieonians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.