AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 27, 2024

Adelaide United Women

Home
VS
05:50

Western Sydney Wanderers Women

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Adelaide United Women Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.54 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Adelaide United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Adelaide United Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Adelaide … vs Melbourne… 1-3
Dec 15 Adelaide … vs Perth Glo… 3-1
Dec 08 Adelaide … vs Newcastle… 2-0
Nov 22 Adelaide … vs Wellingto… 0-1
Nov 16 Adelaide … vs Canberra … 0-2
Nov 10 Adelaide … vs Western S… 0-2
Nov 02 Adelaide … vs Melbourne… 2-3
Mar 29 Adelaide … vs Newcastle… 0-8
Mar 24 Adelaide … vs Sydney FC… 3-0
Mar 20 Adelaide … vs Wellingto… 4-0
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-1
Nov 30 Western S… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Nov 22 Western S… vs Brisbane … 0-4
Nov 16 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Nov 10 Western S… vs Adelaide … 0-2
Nov 03 Western S… vs Newcastle… 2-2
Mar 30 Western S… vs Wellingto… 2-0
Mar 23 Western S… vs Western U… 3-1
Mar 16 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Mar 13 Western S… vs Canberra … 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Adelaide United Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Western Sydney Wanderers Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 10, 2024 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 2 Adelaide United Wom… W-League
Feb 03, 2024 Adelaide United Wom… 2 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… W-League
Dec 23, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 1 Adelaide United Wom… W-League
Dec 11, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 1 Adelaide United Wom… W-League
Jan 28, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 3 Adelaide United Wom… W-League
Mar 21, 2021 Adelaide United Wom… 3 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Adelaide United Women to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Adelaide United Women Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Adelaide United Women Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Western Sydney Wanderers Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.