AI Match Insights

W-League Dec 23, 2023

Western Sydney Wanderers Women

Home
VS
07:00

Adelaide United Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Adelaide United Women Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.07 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Adelaide United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Western S… vs Brisbane … 1-1
Dec 08 Western S… vs Central C… 3-0
Nov 12 Western S… vs Melbourne… 4-3
Nov 05 Western S… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Oct 22 Western S… vs Wellingto… 0-3
Oct 14 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Mar 19 Western S… vs Brisbane … 3-1
Mar 12 Western S… vs Canberra … 1-1
Mar 05 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-1
Feb 25 Western S… vs Canberra … 3-0
Adelaide United Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Adelaide … vs Wellingto… 2-1
Nov 26 Adelaide … vs Brisbane … 1-1
Nov 19 Adelaide … vs Sydney FC… 1-3
Nov 11 Adelaide … vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Nov 04 Adelaide … vs Melbourne… 2-0
Oct 20 Adelaide … vs Central C… 1-2
Oct 15 Adelaide … vs Canberra … 4-4
Mar 28 Adelaide … vs Wellingto… 1-3
Mar 25 Adelaide … vs Sydney FC… 3-0
Mar 17 Adelaide … vs Newcastle… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Adelaide United Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 11, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 1 Adelaide United Wom… W-League
Jan 28, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 3 Adelaide United Wom… W-League
Mar 21, 2021 Adelaide United Wom… 3 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Power 0
Adelaide United Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Western Sydney Wanderers Women Position

-5

Position Gap

5

Adelaide United Women Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.