AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Mar 01, 2025

Rangers FC

Home
VS
15:00

Motherwell

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Rangers FC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Motherwell Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.97 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rangers FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Rangers FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 Rangers FC vs Aarhus GF 1-1
Feb 26 Rangers FC vs Kilmarnock 2-4
Feb 22 Rangers FC vs St. Mirren 0-2
Feb 16 Rangers FC vs Heart of … 1-3
Feb 11 Rangers FC vs Montrose 1-1
Feb 09 Rangers FC vs Queen's P… 0-1
Feb 08 Rangers FC vs Livingston 3-0
Jan 26 Rangers FC vs Dundee Utd 1-3
Jan 19 Rangers FC vs Fraserbur… 5-0
Jan 18 Rangers FC vs Alloa Ath… 2-0
Motherwell Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Feb 22 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Feb 15 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 0-3
Feb 02 Motherwell vs Celtic 1-3
Jan 18 Motherwell vs ST Johnst… 1-0
Jan 11 Motherwell vs Hibernian 3-1
Jan 08 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 0-0
Jan 05 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 2-0
Jan 02 Motherwell vs Heart of … 1-0
Dec 29 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Motherwell struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2024 Motherwell 2 - 2 Rangers FC Premiership
Nov 03, 2024 Motherwell 1 - 2 Rangers FC League Cup
Aug 10, 2024 Rangers FC 2 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Mar 02, 2024 Rangers FC 1 - 2 Motherwell Premiership
Dec 24, 2023 Motherwell 0 - 2 Rangers FC Premiership
Sep 24, 2023 Rangers FC 1 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Mar 18, 2023 Motherwell 2 - 4 Rangers FC Premiership
Dec 28, 2022 Rangers FC 3 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rangers FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rangers FC Power 0
Motherwell Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Rangers FC Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Motherwell Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.