AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 24, 2023

Rangers FC

Home
VS
14:00

Motherwell

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Rangers FC Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Motherwell Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.31 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rangers FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Rangers FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Rangers FC vs Kelty Hea… 2-2
Sep 09 Rangers FC vs Montrose 0-2
Sep 02 Rangers FC vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Aug 12 Rangers FC vs Livingston 4-0
Aug 05 Rangers FC vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Aug 05 Rangers FC vs Hamilton … 1-0
Jul 29 Rangers FC vs Hamilton … 2-2
Jul 11 Rangers FC vs Peterhead 1-1
May 30 Rangers FC vs Aarhus GF 1-3
May 27 Rangers FC vs St. Mirren 0-3
Motherwell Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 0-1
Sep 03 Motherwell vs Heart of … 0-1
Aug 26 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 2-1
Aug 19 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 1-0
Aug 13 Motherwell vs Hibernian 2-1
Aug 05 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 1-1
May 28 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 3-2
May 24 Motherwell vs Livingston 1-1
May 20 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 1-0
May 06 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Motherwell in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Rangers FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 18, 2023 Motherwell 2 - 4 Rangers FC Premiership
Dec 28, 2022 Rangers FC 3 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rangers FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rangers FC Power 0
Motherwell Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Rangers FC Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Motherwell Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.