AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 23, 2023

Celtic

Home
VS
15:00

Livingston

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Celtic Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Livingston Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Livingston Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Celtic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Celtic vs Heart of … 0-2
Dec 13 Celtic vs Feyenoord 2-1
Dec 10 Celtic vs Kilmarnock 2-1
Nov 25 Celtic vs Motherwell 1-1
Nov 12 Celtic vs Aberdeen 6-0
Nov 01 Celtic vs St. Mirren 2-1
Oct 22 Celtic vs Heart of … 1-4
Oct 15 Celtic vs Ilirija 0-0
Sep 30 Celtic vs Motherwell 1-2
Sep 23 Celtic vs Livingston 0-3
Livingston Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Livingston vs Aberdeen 2-1
Dec 16 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 0-0
Nov 25 Livingston vs St. Mirren 1-0
Nov 12 Livingston vs Rangers FC 0-2
Nov 05 Livingston vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Nov 01 Livingston vs Heart of … 1-0
Oct 28 Livingston vs Dundee Utd 0-2
Oct 21 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 3-1
Oct 07 Livingston vs Motherwell 2-0
Sep 27 Livingston vs Rangers FC 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Livingston struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 23, 2023 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Feb 01, 2023 Celtic 3 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Dec 21, 2022 Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston Premiership
Oct 30, 2022 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Mar 06, 2022 Livingston 1 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Oct 30, 2021 Celtic 0 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Celtic to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Celtic Power 0
Livingston Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Celtic Position

+9

Position Gap

12

Livingston Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.