AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 21, 2022

Celtic

Home
VS
19:45

Livingston

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Celtic Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Livingston Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Livingston Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Celtic Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Celtic vs Motherwell 1-2
Nov 05 Celtic vs Dundee Utd 4-2
Oct 30 Celtic vs Livingston 0-3
Oct 19 Celtic vs Motherwell 0-4
Oct 08 Celtic vs Brinje-Gr… 0-1
Sep 17 Celtic vs Ilirija 1-1
Aug 28 Celtic vs Dundee Utd 0-9
May 11 Celtic vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Apr 13 Celtic vs Ilirija 2-2
Mar 14 Celtic vs Dundee Utd 0-3
Livingston Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Livingston vs Heart of … 1-1
Nov 08 Livingston vs Aberdeen 2-1
Nov 04 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 2-3
Oct 30 Livingston vs Celtic 0-3
Oct 22 Livingston vs Rangers FC 1-1
Oct 01 Livingston vs St. Mirren 2-1
Sep 17 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Sep 03 Livingston vs Heart of … 1-0
Aug 31 Livingston vs Dundee Utd 1-2
Aug 27 Livingston vs Aberdeen 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Celtic in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 30, 2022 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Mar 06, 2022 Livingston 1 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Oct 30, 2021 Celtic 0 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Celtic to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Celtic Power 0
Livingston Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Celtic Position

+9

Position Gap

12

Livingston Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.