AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Mar 29, 2025

St. Mirren

Home
VS
15:00

Kilmarnock

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
St. Mirren Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Kilmarnock Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.92 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
St. Mirren Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 2-2
Mar 01 St. Mirren vs Celtic 2-5
Feb 26 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 3-1
Feb 22 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 0-2
Feb 10 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 1-1
Jan 25 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 0-3
Jan 18 St. Mirren vs Queen of … 1-3
Jan 11 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 0-1
Jan 05 St. Mirren vs Celtic 3-0
Jan 02 St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock 2-0
Kilmarnock Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 1-1
Feb 26 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 2-4
Feb 22 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 1-0
Feb 01 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Jan 25 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 3-2
Jan 18 Kilmarnock vs Celtic 2-1
Jan 08 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 0-0
Jan 02 Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren 2-0
Dec 29 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 1-0
Dec 26 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kilmarnock struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 02, 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 St. Mirren Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 St. Mirren 2 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
May 11, 2024 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St. Mirren Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St. Mirren Premiership
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Mirren Power 0
Kilmarnock Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

St. Mirren Position

+2

Position Gap

11

Kilmarnock Position
Home Win Rate: 31%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.