AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 02, 2025

Kilmarnock

Home
VS
15:00

St. Mirren

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Kilmarnock Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
St. Mirren Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.11 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Kilmarnock Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 1-0
Dec 26 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 4-0
Dec 20 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 1-1
Dec 15 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 1-0
Dec 07 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Dec 04 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 6-0
Nov 30 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Nov 10 Kilmarnock vs Celtic 0-2
Nov 03 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 3-2
Oct 30 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 1-2
St. Mirren Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 1-2
Dec 26 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 2-1
Dec 07 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 0-1
Nov 30 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Nov 23 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 2-1
Oct 27 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 2-1
Oct 19 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 4-0
Oct 05 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 0-1
Sep 28 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 2-1
Sep 21 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Mirren struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2024 St. Mirren 2 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
May 11, 2024 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St. Mirren Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St. Mirren Premiership
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kilmarnock Power 0
St. Mirren Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Kilmarnock Position

-2

Position Gap

9

St. Mirren Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.