AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 14, 2024

St. Mirren

Home
VS
14:00

Kilmarnock

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
St. Mirren Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Kilmarnock Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.41 - 0.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.9
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
St. Mirren Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Aug 25 St. Mirren vs Celtic 0-3
Aug 18 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Aug 11 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 3-1
May 18 St. Mirren vs Celtic 3-2
May 15 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 2-2
May 11 St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock 0-1
May 04 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 1-3
Apr 28 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 1-2
Apr 13 St. Mirren vs Celtic 3-0
Kilmarnock Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 1-1
Aug 25 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 2-0
Aug 18 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 1-0
Aug 04 Kilmarnock vs Celtic 4-0
May 18 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 1-1
May 15 Kilmarnock vs Celtic 0-5
May 11 Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren 0-1
May 05 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 4-1
Apr 27 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 0-0
Apr 13 Kilmarnock vs ST Johnst… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Mirren struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Kilmarnock struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 11, 2024 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St. Mirren Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St. Mirren Premiership
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Mirren Power 0
Kilmarnock Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

St. Mirren Position

+2

Position Gap

11

Kilmarnock Position
Home Win Rate: 31%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.