AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Mar 16, 2024

Kilmarnock

Home
VS
15:00

St. Mirren

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Kilmarnock Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
St. Mirren Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.83 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Kilmarnock Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 3-1
Mar 02 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Feb 28 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 1-2
Feb 24 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 2-0
Feb 17 Kilmarnock vs Celtic 1-1
Feb 10 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 2-0
Feb 07 Kilmarnock vs Livingston 1-0
Feb 03 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 1-1
Jan 27 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 2-2
Jan 20 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 2-0
St. Mirren Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 2-1
Feb 17 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-0
Feb 11 St. Mirren vs Celtic 0-2
Feb 07 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Jan 27 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 0-1
Jan 20 St. Mirren vs Queen of … 1-0
Jan 02 St. Mirren vs Celtic 0-3
Dec 30 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 0-3
Dec 27 St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock 0-1
Dec 23 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Mirren struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St. Mirren Premiership
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kilmarnock Power 0
St. Mirren Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Kilmarnock Position

-2

Position Gap

9

St. Mirren Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.