AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 30, 2023

Kilmarnock

Home
VS
14:00

St. Mirren

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Kilmarnock Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
St. Mirren Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.19 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Kilmarnock Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 1-2
Sep 23 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Sep 16 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 2-2
Aug 26 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 2-1
Aug 13 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 0-0
Aug 05 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 1-0
May 24 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 0-3
May 13 Kilmarnock vs Livingston 2-0
May 06 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 2-0
Apr 22 Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren 0-2
St. Mirren Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 1-0
Sep 16 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 0-1
Sep 02 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-1
Aug 27 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 2-2
Aug 19 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 1-0
Aug 12 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 2-1
May 27 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 0-3
May 24 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 3-0
Apr 22 St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock 0-2
Apr 01 St. Mirren vs Livingston 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Mirren in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kilmarnock Power 0
St. Mirren Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Kilmarnock Position

-2

Position Gap

9

St. Mirren Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.