AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Oct 27, 2024

Hibernian

Home
VS
11:00

Heart of Midlothian

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Hibernian Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Heart of Midlothian Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.83 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.0
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hibernian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Heart of Midlothian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Hibernian Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 3-2
Oct 05 Hibernian vs Motherwell 1-2
Sep 29 Hibernian vs Rangers FC 1-0
Sep 01 Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Aug 24 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 2-2
May 19 Hibernian vs Livingston 1-1
May 15 Hibernian vs Motherwell 3-0
May 12 Hibernian vs Aberdeen 0-4
May 04 Hibernian vs Ross Coun… 2-1
Apr 27 Hibernian vs ST Johnst… 1-3
Heart of Midlothian Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Heart of … vs St. Mirren 4-0
Sep 21 Heart of … vs St. Mirren 2-1
Sep 14 Heart of … vs Celtic 2-0
Sep 01 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 0-1
Aug 25 Heart of … vs Motherwell 3-1
Aug 17 Heart of … vs Falkirk 2-0
Aug 10 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 3-1
Aug 03 Heart of … vs Rangers FC 0-0
May 18 Heart of … vs Rangers FC 3-3
May 15 Heart of … vs St. Mirren 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hibernian struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Heart of Midlothian struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 28, 2024 Heart of Midlothian 1 - 1 Hibernian Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 Hibernian 0 - 1 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
Oct 07, 2023 Heart of Midlothian 2 - 2 Hibernian Premiership
May 27, 2023 Heart of Midlothian 1 - 1 Hibernian Premiership
Apr 15, 2023 Hibernian 1 - 0 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
Jan 22, 2023 Hibernian 0 - 3 Heart of Midlothian FA Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hibernian Power 0
Heart of Midlothian Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Hibernian Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Heart of Midlothian Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 62%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.