AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Oct 07, 2023

Heart of Midlothian

Home
VS
14:00

Hibernian

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Heart of Midlothian Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Hibernian Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 37%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.31 - 1.19
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Heart of Midlothian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Hibernian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (22%) 0-2 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Heart of Midlothian Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Heart of … vs Kilmarnock 1-2
Sep 23 Heart of … vs St. Mirren 1-0
Sep 03 Heart of … vs Motherwell 0-1
Aug 27 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Aug 13 Heart of … vs Kilmarnock 0-0
May 27 Heart of … vs Hibernian 1-1
May 07 Heart of … vs Celtic 0-2
Apr 15 Heart of … vs Hibernian 1-0
Mar 11 Heart of … vs Celtic 0-3
Feb 19 Heart of … vs Motherwell 2-0
Hibernian Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 0-0
Sep 16 Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 2-2
Sep 03 Hibernian vs Aberdeen 0-2
Aug 13 Hibernian vs Motherwell 2-1
Jun 17 Hibernian vs Arsenal 1-1
May 27 Hibernian vs Heart of … 1-1
Apr 15 Hibernian vs Heart of … 1-0
Apr 09 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Apr 01 Hibernian vs Motherwell 1-3
Feb 18 Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heart of Midlothian struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 27, 2023 Heart of Midlothian 1 - 1 Hibernian Premiership
Apr 15, 2023 Hibernian 1 - 0 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
Jan 22, 2023 Hibernian 0 - 3 Heart of Midlothian FA Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Heart of Midlothian to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Heart of Midlothian Power 0
Hibernian Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Heart of Midlothian Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Hibernian Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.