AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership May 27, 2023

Heart of Midlothian

Home
VS
11:30

Hibernian

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Heart of Midlothian Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Hibernian Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.30 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Heart of Midlothian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Hibernian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Heart of Midlothian Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Heart of … vs Celtic 0-2
Apr 15 Heart of … vs Hibernian 1-0
Mar 11 Heart of … vs Celtic 0-3
Feb 19 Heart of … vs Motherwell 2-0
Feb 04 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 3-1
Jan 29 Heart of … vs Livingston 0-0
Jan 22 Heart of … vs Hibernian 0-3
Dec 24 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Nov 12 Heart of … vs Livingston 1-1
Nov 06 Heart of … vs Motherwell 3-2
Hibernian Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Hibernian vs Heart of … 1-0
Apr 09 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Apr 01 Hibernian vs Motherwell 1-3
Feb 18 Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 2-0
Jan 22 Hibernian vs Heart of … 0-3
Jan 14 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Jan 08 Hibernian vs Motherwell 2-3
Nov 12 Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Oct 11 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Sep 03 Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heart of Midlothian struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Hibernian struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 15, 2023 Hibernian 1 - 0 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
Jan 22, 2023 Hibernian 0 - 3 Heart of Midlothian FA Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Heart of Midlothian to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Heart of Midlothian Power 0
Hibernian Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Heart of Midlothian Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Hibernian Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.