AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Aug 15, 2023

Annan Athletic

Home
VS
18:45

Stranraer

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Annan Athletic Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Stranraer Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Annan Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (27%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Annan Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 25 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 0-0
Nov 26 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Oct 15 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Jul 30 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-0
Mar 05 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 4-1
Jan 02 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Stranraer Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Stranraer vs Elgin City 0-1
Jul 22 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 2-1
Jul 08 Stranraer vs Ayr Utd 2-0
May 06 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 1-1
Apr 22 Stranraer vs Elgin City 3-1
Mar 25 Stranraer vs Annan Ath… 0-0
Mar 18 Stranraer vs Stirling … 1-1
Mar 04 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 0-2
Jan 28 Stranraer vs Stirling … 1-0
Dec 03 Stranraer vs Stirling … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stranraer in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 25, 2023 Annan Athletic 0 - 0 Stranraer League Two
Nov 26, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 1 Annan Athletic League Two
Oct 15, 2022 Annan Athletic 1 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Jul 30, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 0 Annan Athletic League Two
Mar 05, 2022 Annan Athletic 4 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Jan 02, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 1 Annan Athletic League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Annan Athletic to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Annan Athletic Power 0
Stranraer Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.