AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Nov 26, 2022

Stranraer

Home
VS
15:00

Annan Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 40.5% Confidence
Stranraer Win
40.5%
Draw
25.9%
Annan Athletic Win
33.6%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.38 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Annan Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Stranraer Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 2-0
Oct 15 Stranraer vs Annan Ath… 1-1
Sep 20 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 3-2
Sep 17 Stranraer vs Stirling … 4-1
Aug 24 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 3-2
Jul 30 Stranraer vs Annan Ath… 1-0
Jul 09 Stranraer vs Queen's P… 2-5
Jun 25 Stranraer vs Ayr Utd 2-1
Mar 18 Stranraer vs Edinburgh… 1-2
Mar 05 Stranraer vs Annan Ath… 4-1
Annan Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Jul 30 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-0
Mar 05 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 4-1
Jan 02 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stranraer struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 15, 2022 Annan Athletic 1 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Jul 30, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 0 Annan Athletic League Two
Mar 05, 2022 Annan Athletic 4 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Jan 02, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 1 Annan Athletic League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stranraer to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Stranraer Power 0
Annan Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Stranraer Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Annan Athletic Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.