AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Nov 06, 2021

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
15:00

Stranraer

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Stranraer Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.51 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Alloa Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 2-1
Oct 16 Alloa Ath… vs Peterhead 2-4
Sep 25 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-1
Aug 14 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 2-1
Aug 07 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-0
Jul 31 Alloa Ath… vs Peterhead 2-0
Jul 24 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 0-0
Apr 27 Alloa Ath… vs Dumbarton 1-0
Apr 17 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 1-2
Mar 30 Alloa Ath… vs Partick 2-2
Stranraer Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Stranraer vs East Kilb… 1-0
May 11 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 1-0
Apr 23 Stranraer vs Queen's P… 0-1
Mar 20 Stranraer vs Queen's P… 3-0
Dec 26 Stranraer vs Spartans 5-0
Nov 14 Stranraer vs Ayr Utd 1-1
Oct 31 Stranraer vs Queen's P… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stranraer in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Stranraer Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.