AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 31, 2022

Brisbane Roar Women

Home
VS
04:00

Sydney FC Women

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Brisbane Roar Women Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Sydney FC Women Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.50 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Brisbane Roar Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 0-2
Dec 17 Brisbane … vs Western S… 1-0
Dec 10 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 4-0
Dec 03 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 3-0
Nov 26 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 1-1
Nov 19 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 2-1
Mar 10 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 3-3
Mar 07 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 4-0
Mar 04 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 1-5
Feb 24 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Sydney FC Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 2-0
Dec 10 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 4-0
Dec 03 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 0-1
Nov 26 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Nov 20 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Mar 27 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Mar 11 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 4-2
Mar 06 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Feb 27 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 1-3
Feb 16 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney FC Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2022 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 02, 2022 Sydney FC Women 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 14, 2021 Sydney FC Women 1 - 4 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brisbane Roar Women to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position

+9

Position Gap

11

Sydney FC Women Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.