AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 20, 2025

Motherwell

Home
VS
15:00

Dundee

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Motherwell Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Dundee Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.38 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Dundee Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Motherwell Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 0-0
Dec 06 Motherwell vs Livingston 3-0
Dec 03 Motherwell vs Falkirk 0-0
Nov 29 Motherwell vs Heart of … 0-0
Nov 25 Motherwell vs Hibernian 2-0
Nov 22 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 1-3
Nov 09 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 1-1
Nov 01 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 1-4
Oct 29 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Oct 25 Motherwell vs Livingston 1-2
Dundee Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Dundee vs Livingston 2-2
Dec 06 Dundee vs Aberdeen 1-3
Dec 03 Dundee vs Celtic 1-0
Nov 29 Dundee vs St. Mirren 3-1
Nov 22 Dundee vs Hibernian 2-0
Nov 09 Dundee vs Rangers FC 0-3
Nov 01 Dundee vs Heart of … 4-0
Oct 25 Dundee vs Falkirk 2-1
Oct 19 Dundee vs Celtic 2-0
Oct 05 Dundee vs Aberdeen 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dundee struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2025 Dundee 1 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Motherwell to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Motherwell Power 0
Dundee Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Motherwell Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Dundee Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.