AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Nov 24, 2024

Wellington Phoenix

Home
VS
02:30

Melbourne Victory

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Melbourne Victory Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.04 - 0.90
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Melbourne Victory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Wellington Phoenix Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Wellingto… vs Central C… 0-3
Nov 02 Wellingto… vs Auckland 0-2
Oct 06 Wellingto… vs Central C… 2-1
Sep 17 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 0-1
May 18 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-2
May 12 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 0-0
Apr 27 Wellingto… vs Macarthur… 3-0
Apr 19 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Apr 12 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Apr 06 Wellingto… vs Central C… 2-1
Melbourne Victory Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Nov 03 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 2-1
Oct 26 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Oct 18 Melbourne… vs Central C… 0-0
Sep 29 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 0-1
Sep 21 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-0
May 25 Melbourne… vs Central C… 3-1
May 18 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-2
May 12 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 0-0
May 05 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne Victory in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Wellington Phoenix struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2024 Wellington Phoenix 1 - 2 Melbourne Victory A-League
May 12, 2024 Melbourne Victory 0 - 0 Wellington Phoenix A-League
Apr 12, 2024 Wellington Phoenix 1 - 0 Melbourne Victory A-League
Jan 19, 2024 Wellington Phoenix 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory A-League
Nov 10, 2023 Melbourne Victory 1 - 1 Wellington Phoenix A-League
Apr 01, 2023 Wellington Phoenix 1 - 2 Melbourne Victory A-League
Feb 03, 2023 Melbourne Victory 3 - 1 Wellington Phoenix A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Power 0
Melbourne Victory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Wellington Phoenix Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Melbourne Victory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.