AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
COSAFA Cup Jun 07, 2025

South Africa

Home
VS
13:00

Zimbabwe

Away
AI Predictions 52.5% Confidence
South Africa Win
52.5%
Draw
23.5%
Zimbabwe Win
24.0%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.33 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
South Africa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Zimbabwe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
South Africa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 06 South Afr… vs Tanzania 0-0
Apr 10 South Afr… vs Morocco 3-1
Apr 06 South Afr… vs Burkina F… 2-0
Apr 03 South Afr… vs Cameroon 0-0
Mar 31 South Afr… vs Egypt 4-3
Mar 09 South Afr… vs Egypt 1-3
Mar 02 South Afr… vs Egypt 1-1
Jun 11 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 3-1
Jul 14 South Afr… vs Zambia 1-2
Nov 11 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 1-0
Zimbabwe Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Jun 06 Zimbabwe vs Burkina F… 0-2
Jun 11 Zimbabwe vs South Afr… 3-1
Nov 11 Zimbabwe vs South Afr… 1-0
Sep 03 Zimbabwe vs South Afr… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zimbabwe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 11, 2024 South Africa 3 - 1 Zimbabwe World Cup - Qu…
Nov 11, 2021 South Africa 1 - 0 Zimbabwe World Cup - Qu…
Sep 03, 2021 Zimbabwe 0 - 0 South Africa World Cup - Qu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: South Africa to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
South Africa Power 0
Zimbabwe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.