AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Mar 28, 2023

Zimbabwe

Home
VS
00:00

South Africa

Away
AI Predictions 37.5% Confidence
Zimbabwe Win
37.5%
Draw
26.5%
South Africa Win
36.0%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.67 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zimbabwe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
South Africa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Zimbabwe Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 Zimbabwe vs South Afr… 1-0
Sep 03 Zimbabwe vs South Afr… 0-0
South Africa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 1-0
Sep 03 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 0-0
Jul 14 South Afr… vs Zambia 0-0
Oct 11 South Afr… vs Zambia 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 11, 2021 South Africa 1 - 0 Zimbabwe World Cup - Qu…
Sep 03, 2021 Zimbabwe 0 - 0 South Africa World Cup - Qu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Zimbabwe to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zimbabwe Power 0
South Africa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.